Lanzarotti, Esteban; Rojas, Andrea Pineda; Roslan, Francisco; Groisman, Leandro; Santi, Lucio; Castro, Rodrigo
A multi-scale agent-based model of aerosol-mediated indoor infections in heterogeneous scenarios Journal Article
In: Journal of Simulation, vol. 0, no. 0, pp. 1–19, 2025, ISSN: 1747-7778, (Publisher: Taylor & Francis _eprint: https://doi.org/10.1080/17477778.2025.2476456).
@article{lanzarotti_multi-scale_2025,
title = {A multi-scale agent-based model of aerosol-mediated indoor infections in heterogeneous scenarios},
author = {Esteban Lanzarotti and Andrea Pineda Rojas and Francisco Roslan and Leandro Groisman and Lucio Santi and Rodrigo Castro},
url = {https://doi.org/10.1080/17477778.2025.2476456},
doi = {10.1080/17477778.2025.2476456},
issn = {1747-7778},
year = {2025},
date = {2025-01-01},
urldate = {2025-07-01},
journal = {Journal of Simulation},
volume = {0},
number = {0},
pages = {1–19},
abstract = {We present a hybrid agent-based and equation-based simulation model to study airborne infection transmission events in heterogeneous indoor spaces. Agents move between different rooms, generating evolving networked social interactions. Suspended aerosols enable both direct and indirect transmission, shaping multi-scale contagion at local (room) and global (building layout) levels within a SEIR process. This approach provides a very flexible platform for dealing with environmental and population heterogeneities. Our model reproduces well-documented real-world contagion events and analytical models in the literature over a wide range of environments (hospitals, offices, restaurants, and classrooms). The model is applied to study transmission patterns in a typical school day, exploring three heterogeneity-driven scenarios: (i) varying break-time activity intensity, (ii) localized ventilation reductions, and (iii) flexible class/break durations, uncovering emerging nonlinear system-level dynamics. Our results show that neglecting heterogeneities can lead to considerable underestimation of attack rates. Such scenarios cannot be modeled with previous agent-based frameworks.},
note = {Publisher: Taylor & Francis
_eprint: https://doi.org/10.1080/17477778.2025.2476456},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Pecker-Marcosig, Ezequiel; Bonaventura, Matías; Lanzarotti, Esteban; Santi, Lucio; Castro, Rodrigo
py2PowerDEVS: Construction and Manipulation of Large Complex Structures for PowerDevs Models via Python Scripting Proceedings Article
In: 2022 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC), pp. 2594–2605, IEEE, 2022.
@inproceedings{pecker-marcosig_py2powerdevs_2022,
title = {py2PowerDEVS: Construction and Manipulation of Large Complex Structures for PowerDevs Models via Python Scripting},
author = {Ezequiel Pecker-Marcosig and Matías Bonaventura and Esteban Lanzarotti and Lucio Santi and Rodrigo Castro},
url = {https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/abstract/document/10015479/},
year = {2022},
date = {2022-01-01},
urldate = {2025-07-01},
booktitle = {2022 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)},
pages = {2594–2605},
publisher = {IEEE},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {inproceedings}
}
Foguelman, Daniel; Lanzarotti, Esteban; Ferreyra, Emanuel; Castro, Rodrigo
Simulation of emergence in artificial societies: a practical model-based approach with the EB-DEVS formalism Miscellaneous
2021, (arXiv:2110.08170 [cs]).
@misc{foguelman_simulation_2021,
title = {Simulation of emergence in artificial societies: a practical model-based approach with the EB-DEVS formalism},
author = {Daniel Foguelman and Esteban Lanzarotti and Emanuel Ferreyra and Rodrigo Castro},
url = {http://arxiv.org/abs/2110.08170},
doi = {10.48550/arXiv.2110.08170},
year = {2021},
date = {2021-01-01},
urldate = {2025-07-01},
publisher = {arXiv},
abstract = {Modelling and simulation of complex systems is key to exploring and understanding social processes, benefiting from formal mechanisms to derive global-level properties from local-level interactions. In this paper we extend the body of knowledge on formal methods in complex systems by applying EB-DEVS, a novel formalism tailored for the modelling, simulation and live identification of emergent properties. We guide the reader through the implementation of different classical models for varied social systems to introduce good modelling practices and showcase the advantages and limitations of modelling emergence with EB-DEVS, in particular through its live emergence detection capability. This work provides case study-driven evidence for the neatness and compactness of the approach to modelling communication structures that can be explicit or implicit, static or dynamic, with or without multilevel interactions, and with weak or strong emergent behaviour. Throughout examples we show that EB-DEVS permits conceptualising the analysed societies by incorporating emergent behaviour when required, namely by integrating as a macro-level aggregate the Gini index in the Sugarscape model, Fads and Fashion in the Dissemination of Culture model, size-biased degree distribution in a Preferential Attachment model, happiness index in the Segregation model and quarantines in the SIR epidemic model. In each example we discuss the role of communication structures in the development of multilevel simulation models, and illustrate how micro-macro feedback loops enable the modelling of macro-level properties. Our results stress the relevance of multilevel features to support a robust approach in the modelling and simulation of complex systems.},
note = {arXiv:2110.08170 [cs]},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {misc}
}
Lanzarotti, Esteban; Santi, Lucio; Castro, Rodrigo; Roslan, Francisco; Groisman, Leandro
A multi-aspect agent-based model of COVID-19: disease dynamics, contact tracing interventions and shared space-driven contagions Proceedings Article
In: 2021 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC), pp. 1–12, 2021.
@inproceedings{lanzarotti_multi-aspect_2021,
title = {A multi-aspect agent-based model of COVID-19: disease dynamics, contact tracing interventions and shared space-driven contagions},
author = {Esteban Lanzarotti and Lucio Santi and Rodrigo Castro and Francisco Roslan and Leandro Groisman},
url = {https://www.informs-sim.org/wsc21papers/309.pdf},
doi = {10.1109/WSC52266.2021.9715445},
year = {2021},
date = {2021-01-01},
booktitle = {2021 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)},
pages = {1–12},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {inproceedings}
}
Arrar, Mehrnoosh; Belloli, Laouen Mayal Louan; Bianco, Ana Maria; Boechi, Leonardo; Castro, Rodrigo; Duran, Guillermo Alfredo; Etchenique, Roberto Argentino; Fernández, Natalia Brenda; Ferrer, Luciana; Garbervetsky, Diego David; Goldsmit, Rodrigo; Vidal, Carolina Grillo; Kamienkowski, Juan; Laciana, Pablo; Lanzarotti, Esteban; Lozano, Mario; Maidana, Rodrigo; Mendiluce, Mariano; Minoldo, Sol; Pecker-Marcosig, Ezequiel; Pepino, Leonardo; Puerta, Armando Ezequiel; Quiroga, Rodrigo; Solovey, Guillermo; Valdora, Marina; Zapatero, Mariano
In: 2021, (Publisher: Centro de Estudios sobre Ciencia, Desarrollo y Educación Superior).
@article{arrar_mathematical_2021,
title = {Mathematical and Computational Initiatives from the University of Buenos Aires to Contribute to Decision-Making in the Context of COVID-19 in Argentina},
author = {Mehrnoosh Arrar and Laouen Mayal Louan Belloli and Ana Maria Bianco and Leonardo Boechi and Rodrigo Castro and Guillermo Alfredo Duran and Roberto Argentino Etchenique and Natalia Brenda Fernández and Luciana Ferrer and Diego David Garbervetsky and Rodrigo Goldsmit and Carolina Grillo Vidal and Juan Kamienkowski and Pablo Laciana and Esteban Lanzarotti and Mario Lozano and Rodrigo Maidana and Mariano Mendiluce and Sol Minoldo and Ezequiel Pecker-Marcosig and Leonardo Pepino and Armando Ezequiel Puerta and Rodrigo Quiroga and Guillermo Solovey and Marina Valdora and Mariano Zapatero},
doi = {10.52712/sciencereviews.v2i2.38},
year = {2021},
date = {2021-01-01},
note = {Publisher: Centro de Estudios sobre Ciencia, Desarrollo y Educación Superior},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}
Arrar, Mehrnoosh; Belloli, Laouen Mayal Louan; Bianco, Ana Maria; Boechi, Leonardo; Castro, Rodrigo; Duran, Guillermo Alfredo; Etchenique, Roberto Argentino; Fernández, Natalia Brenda; Ferrer, Luciana; Garbervetsky, Diego David; Goldsmit, Rodrigo; Vidal, Carolina Grillo; Kamienkowski, Juan; Laciana, Pablo; Lanzarotti, Esteban; Lozano, Mario; Maidana, Rodrigo; Mendiluce, Mariano; Minoldo, Sol; Pepino, Leonardo; Pecker-Marcosig, Ezequiel; Puerta, Armando Ezequiel; Quiroga, Rodrigo; Solovey, Guillermo; Valdora, Marina; Zapatero, Mariano
Iniciativas matemático computacionales desde la Universidad de Buenos Aires para contribuir a la toma de decisiones en el contexto del COVID-19 Journal Article
In: 2020, (Publisher: Universidad de Chile).
@article{arrar_iniciativas_2020,
title = {Iniciativas matemático computacionales desde la Universidad de Buenos Aires para contribuir a la toma de decisiones en el contexto del COVID-19},
author = {Mehrnoosh Arrar and Laouen Mayal Louan Belloli and Ana Maria Bianco and Leonardo Boechi and Rodrigo Castro and Guillermo Alfredo Duran and Roberto Argentino Etchenique and Natalia Brenda Fernández and Luciana Ferrer and Diego David Garbervetsky and Rodrigo Goldsmit and Carolina Grillo Vidal and Juan Kamienkowski and Pablo Laciana and Esteban Lanzarotti and Mario Lozano and Rodrigo Maidana and Mariano Mendiluce and Sol Minoldo and Leonardo Pepino and Ezequiel Pecker-Marcosig and Armando Ezequiel Puerta and Rodrigo Quiroga and Guillermo Solovey and Marina Valdora and Mariano Zapatero},
url = {https://ri.conicet.gov.ar/handle/11336/128121},
year = {2020},
date = {2020-01-01},
urldate = {2025-07-01},
note = {Publisher: Universidad de Chile},
keywords = {},
pubstate = {published},
tppubtype = {article}
}